Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.251325 1.539275 1.915374 2.460606 3.264764 4.471224 6.569014
2025-06-01 0.877000 1.181693 1.642893 2.452299 4.004014 7.375619 18.050600
2025-06-08 0.676787 0.959731 1.426653 2.353056 4.503159 10.988453 55.831441
2025-06-15 0.582783 0.862738 1.360697 2.467941 5.599717 19.927162 825.528010
2025-06-22 0.506895 0.772886 1.271661 2.479055 6.498322 34.879139 NaN
2025-06-29 0.443888 0.690666 1.170804 2.407255 7.088164 58.184691 NaN
2025-07-06 0.397356 0.629149 1.094894 2.363202 7.801723 110.918972 NaN
2025-07-13 0.377361 0.613229 1.110871 2.590943 10.467132 815.183553 NaN
2025-07-20 0.354544 0.587519 1.097757 2.726206 13.242259 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.328415 0.551011 1.050359 2.720532 15.140336 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.301940 0.510300 0.984419 2.615892 15.906074 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.285784 0.489117 0.963411 2.680116 19.332112 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.273685 0.475529 0.960703 2.831438 26.015448 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.257952 0.452231 0.927721 2.834232 30.833168 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.240480 0.423265 0.874208 2.714340 32.038722 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.232036 0.413516 0.872736 2.856598 45.241811 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.221133 0.397006 0.848849 2.870448 55.949479 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.208949 0.376436 0.809830 2.781723 60.428009 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.198660 0.359399 0.778949 2.727406 68.253240 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.195995 0.359854 0.800964 3.009278 141.592478 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.191029 0.354328 0.803518 3.177906 280.786360 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.183521 0.342006 0.782343 3.170815 412.109070 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.174706 0.325867 0.746649 3.040314 429.161332 NaN NaN